Data-miner: Valve disable rare case drops in CS2

According to unofficial information, Counter-Strike 2 developers have reduced the drop rate of all rare cases in the game to zero. The author of the Steam Inventory Helper account revealed this via his X social media account. According to the data-miner, the corresponding change was made to the game on December 17th.

According to stats from farming tools, Valve quietly disabled rare case drops this Wednesday and they haven’t dropped at all this week.

There’s a chance it’s a temporary change, similar to the 40% Terminal drop chance (or just classic clumsiness from a tiny indie company with one dev). But it’s also possible Gabe is planning a full switch to a Terminal-based system, phasing out rare drops and gradually replacing the active pool.

Valve itself has not commented on the situation. Interestingly, the price of rare Counter-Strike 2 cases on the Steam Community Market increased sharply by 20-40% following the news that they were no longer obtainable in-game.

In today's update, Valve added souvenir sets to Counter-Strike 2, as well as the Vitality Champion Capsule in honor of the team's victory at the recent StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 in Hungary.

Origin: x.com